Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.725370 0.842489 0.969662 1.117650 1.284746 1.467188 1.681062
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.536435 0.693196 0.879000 1.113856 1.401032 1.738881 2.164379
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.437065 0.618361 0.849598 1.162329 1.569846 2.078055 2.754239
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.361849 0.554763 0.817128 1.193138 1.710052 2.386506 3.327656
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.318490 0.523640 0.818481 1.262271 1.900139 2.768501 4.021121
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.265624 0.467771 0.774312 1.257883 1.982740 3.006491 4.533245
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.221407 0.416478 0.727755 1.240847 2.040358 3.208071 5.002665
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.187243 0.375028 0.689420 1.229233 2.100847 3.413227 5.485422
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.165608 0.351164 0.675543 1.253080 2.215217 3.702792 6.107066
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.146037 0.327454 0.658180 1.267861 2.314133 3.972620 6.712181
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.128389 0.304195 0.638109 1.274723 2.398693 4.223003 7.299036
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.116316 0.289966 0.632384 1.305384 2.524234 4.544628 8.013717
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.102360 0.269716 0.613364 1.311116 2.609344 4.809476 8.659578
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.085577 0.239976 0.571626 1.269545 2.606795 4.927896 9.073299
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.078580 0.231629 0.572347 1.309784 2.755433 5.311478 9.948497
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.071426 0.221487 0.567805 1.338675 2.884455 5.667660 10.794711
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.068388 0.221268 0.584818 1.412968 3.104660 6.195965 11.961681
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.060168 0.205585 0.564826 1.407382 3.168918 6.447695 12.657891
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.052225 0.188870 0.539973 1.388336 3.204193 6.647304 13.269980
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.045692 0.174707 0.519104 1.375439 3.249916 6.867169 13.926615
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.041878 0.167986 0.515758 1.401675 3.377736 7.247328 14.890938
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.038002 0.160172 0.508507 1.417942 3.485332 7.593772 15.807690
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.034184 0.151628 0.498097 1.425495 3.574411 7.908288 16.677889